Free NFL fantasy draft rankings from our projection model: every QB, RB, WR and TE ranked by projected fantasy points and value over replacement (VOR) — the scarcity-aware draft signal. The fantasy football draft projections auto-update daily as data refreshes.
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Formats differ only in points per reception — PPR = 1 (point per reception), Half-PPR = 0.5, Standard = 0. Everything else (yards, TDs) scores the same, so PPR lifts high-volume pass-catchers (WRs, receiving RBs) while Standard favours rushing.
VOR = Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement player at the same position. It's the scarcity-aware draft signal: an elite RB/WR is worth more than a higher-scoring QB because the drop-off to a replacement QB is small.
| # | Player | Team | Proj pts | VOR | TD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T1Trey McBride | ARI | 151 | 56 | 36% |
| 2 | Kyle Pitts | ATL | 136 | 41 | 29% |
| 3 | Colston Loveland | CHI | 130 | 35 | 29% |
| 4 | Travis Kelce | KC | 127 | 33 | 30% |
| 5 | T2Harold Fannin Jr. | CLE | 125 | 30 | 33% |
| 6 | Dallas Goedert | PHI | 124 | 29 | 31% |
| 7 | Mark Andrews | BAL | 113 | 18 | 26% |
| 8 | Tyler Warren | IND | 110 | 16 | 25% |
| 9 | T3George Kittle | SF | 105 | 10 | 31% |
| 10 | Brock Bowers | LV | 100 | 5 | 31% |
| 11 | Juwan Johnson | NO | 98 | 3 | 22% |
| 12 | Zach Ertz | WAS | 97 | 3 | 29% |
| 13 | T4Dalton Schultz | HOU | 95 | 0 | 21% |
| 14 | Hunter Henry | NE | 95 | 0 | 23% |
| 15 | Chig Okonkwo | WAS | 90 | -5 | 21% |
| 16 | T.J. Hockenson | MIN | 89 | -6 | 23% |
| 17 | T5Theo Johnson | NYG | 89 | -6 | 23% |
| 18 | Oronde Gadsden II | LAC | 83 | -12 | 21% |
| 19 | Jake Ferguson | DAL | 82 | -13 | 21% |
| 20 | Pat Freiermuth | PIT | 81 | -14 | 22% |
| 21 | T6Evan Engram | DEN | 70 | -25 | 17% |
| 22 | Dalton Kincaid | BUF | 70 | -25 | 21% |
| 23 | Gunnar Helm | TEN | 70 | -25 | 19% |
| 24 | Colby Parkinson | LA | 70 | -25 | 19% |
| 25 | T7Dawson Knox | BUF | 69 | -26 | 20% |
| 26 | AJ Barner | SEA | 69 | -26 | 21% |
| 27 | Brenton Strange | JAX | 67 | -28 | 22% |
| 28 | Cade Otton | TB | 63 | -32 | 18% |
| 29 | T8Sam LaPorta | DET | 63 | -32 | 31% |
| 30 | Jonnu Smith | PIT | 60 | -35 | 15% |
| 31 | Mason Taylor | NYJ | 59 | -36 | 20% |
| 32 | Isaiah Likely | NYG | 58 | -37 | 23% |
| 33 | T9Cole Kmet | CHI | 55 | -39 | 15% |
| 34 | Tucker Kraft | GB | 55 | -40 | 31% |
| 35 | Taysom Hill | NO | 53 | -42 | 18% |
| 36 | Tyler Higbee | LA | 52 | -43 | 15% |
| 37 | T10Michael Mayer | LV | 52 | -43 | 18% |
| 38 | Darren Waller | MIA | 51 | -44 | 24% |
| 39 | Luke Musgrave | GB | 51 | -44 | 12% |
| 40 | Mike Gesicki | CIN | 50 | -45 | 19% |
| 41 | T11Davis Allen | LA | 48 | -47 | 15% |
| 42 | Tommy Tremble | CAR | 47 | -48 | 17% |
| 43 | Elijah Higgins | ARI | 47 | -48 | 11% |
| 44 | Greg Dulcich | MIA | 44 | -51 | 19% |
| 45 | T12David Njoku | LAC | 42 | -53 | 23% |
| 46 | Austin Hooper | ATL | 42 | -53 | 14% |
| 47 | Darnell Washington | PIT | 41 | -54 | 12% |
| 48 | Jeremy Ruckert | NYJ | 41 | -54 | 12% |
| 49 | T13Jake Tonges | SF | 40 | -55 | 30% |
| 50 | Noah Fant | NO | 38 | -57 | 12% |
Data baseline from the projection models · refreshed 17 Jul 2026. Qualitative notes (rookies, landing spots, ADP) coming soon.
Per-game projections from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength — a data baseline, not a betting edge. For entertainment / draft research — 18+.
Our projection model estimates per-game fantasy points for every QB, RB, WR and TE from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength, then ranks players by value over replacement (VOR). The same model family powers our public NFL 2026 season predictions.
VOR (value over replacement) measures projected points above a freely available replacement player at the same position. It is the scarcity-aware draft signal: an elite RB or WR outranks a higher-scoring QB because the drop-off to a replacement QB is small.
Yes — switch formats at the top of the board. The formats differ only in points per reception (PPR = 1, Half-PPR = 0.5, Standard = 0), so PPR lifts high-volume pass-catchers while Standard favours rushing production.
Daily and automatically, as new data lands. During draft season we also publish a weekly rankings recap on the blog.
ADP-based rankings show where players are being drafted by the market; our board ranks where they should be drafted on projected value. The gap between the two is where draft value lives — our free mock draft simulator drafts its bots by ADP so you can practice exploiting it.
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