This is our model's honest, continuously-updated performance across every sport — every settled bet, no cherry-picking. How the model thinks and why is on the model page.
| Sport | Bets | Win | ROI | Yield | CLV | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseball(v2) | 726 | 52.0% | +120.6% | +6.3% | +1.6% | 0.247 |
| Tennis(v2) | 548 | 52.2% | +11.1% | +0.9% | +1.7% | 0.242 |
| Football(v2) | 213 | 48.9% | -20.6% | -3.7% | +4.7% | 0.234 |
| Hockey(v2) | 41 | 38.2% | -17.1% |
If the model says 60%, about 60% of those bets should win. The closer to the diagonal, the better calibrated.
A hundred bets tell you almost nothing statistically; it gets meaningful around 500+. Judge the record over the long run, not a good or bad week.
Closing line value (CLV) is our most honest leading indicator for moneyline markets: consistently beating the sharpest books' closing line is long-term profitability, regardless of short-term variance. For totals and handicaps, realised return leads and CLV only corroborates.
The Brier score measures prediction quality (lower is better); the calibration curve shows whether 60% forecasts really land ~60% of the time. We show every settled bet — wins and losses. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
| -28.2% |
| +6.3% |
| 0.257 |
| Basketball(v2) | 23 | 47.8% | -2.5% | -6.2% | +0.8% | 0.240 |