Free NFL fantasy draft rankings from our projection model: every QB, RB, WR and TE ranked by projected fantasy points and value over replacement (VOR) — the scarcity-aware draft signal. The fantasy football draft projections auto-update daily as data refreshes.
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Formats differ only in points per reception — PPR = 1 (point per reception), Half-PPR = 0.5, Standard = 0. Everything else (yards, TDs) scores the same, so PPR lifts high-volume pass-catchers (WRs, receiving RBs) while Standard favours rushing.
VOR = Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement player at the same position. It's the scarcity-aware draft signal: an elite RB/WR is worth more than a higher-scoring QB because the drop-off to a replacement QB is small.
| # | Player | Team | Proj pts | VOR | TD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T1Christian McCaffrey | SF | 389 | 252 | 37% |
| 2 | Bijan Robinson | ATL | 376 | 240 | 41% |
| 3 | De'Von Achane | MIA | 310 | 174 | 46% |
| 4 | Chase Brown | CIN | 288 | 151 | 31% |
| 5 | Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | 270 | 133 | 35% |
| 6 | Ashton Jeanty | LV | 262 | 125 | 31% |
| 7 | T2Saquon Barkley | PHI | 253 | 117 | 38% |
| 8 | Kyren Williams | LA | 240 | 104 | 41% |
| 9 | Travis Etienne | NO | 236 | 99 | 29% |
| 10 | Jonathan Taylor | IND | 236 | 99 | 38% |
| 11 | Derrick Henry | BAL | 223 | 87 | 34% |
| 12 | Rhamondre Stevenson | NE | 222 | 86 | 23% |
| 13 | T3Tony Pollard | TEN | 219 | 82 | 20% |
| 14 | Kenneth Walker III | KC | 214 | 77 | 33% |
| 15 | James Cook | BUF | 209 | 72 | 31% |
| 16 | Breece Hall | NYJ | 205 | 68 | 29% |
| 17 | D'Andre Swift | CHI | 203 | 66 | 36% |
| 18 | RJ Harvey | DEN | 201 | 64 | 38% |
| 19 | T4Kenneth Gainwell | TB | 193 | 56 | 27% |
| 20 | Tyrone Tracy Jr. | NYG | 190 | 54 | 20% |
| 21 | Javonte Williams | DAL | 189 | 52 | 26% |
| 22 | Jaylen Warren | PIT | 188 | 51 | 17% |
| 23 | Woody Marks | HOU | 185 | 48 | 20% |
| 24 | Josh Jacobs | GB | 180 | 43 | 32% |
| 25 | T5Quinshon Judkins | CLE | 163 | 27 | 20% |
| 26 | Rico Dowdle | PIT | 160 | 24 | 23% |
| 27 | Zach Charbonnet | SEA | 155 | 19 | 28% |
| 28 | Bucky Irving | TB | 151 | 15 | 34% |
| 29 | Aaron Jones | MIN | 146 | 10 | 30% |
| 30 | TreVeyon Henderson | NE | 137 | 0 | 11% |
| 31 | T6Chuba Hubbard | CAR | 136 | -0 | 21% |
| 32 | Cam Skattebo | NYG | 135 | -2 | 42% |
| 33 | Devin Singletary | NYG | 129 | -8 | 21% |
| 34 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt | WAS | 129 | -8 | 27% |
| 35 | Omarion Hampton | LAC | 128 | -9 | 44% |
| 36 | David Montgomery | HOU | 126 | -11 | 37% |
| 37 | T7Alvin Kamara | NO | 122 | -15 | 29% |
| 38 | Kareem Hunt | KC | 120 | -17 | 27% |
| 39 | Dylan Sampson | CLE | 117 | -20 | 16% |
| 40 | Rachaad White | WAS | 115 | -22 | 19% |
| 41 | Michael Carter | TEN | 112 | -25 | 16% |
| 42 | Tyjae Spears | TEN | 111 | -26 | 21% |
| 43 | T8Tyler Allgeier | ARI | 105 | -31 | 17% |
| 44 | Kyle Monangai | CHI | 105 | -32 | 17% |
| 45 | Kimani Vidal | LAC | 104 | -33 | 15% |
| 46 | Isiah Pacheco | DET | 102 | -35 | 20% |
| 47 | Ty Johnson | BUF | 102 | -35 | 17% |
| 48 | J.K. Dobbins | DEN | 100 | -37 | 25% |
| 49 | T9Bam Knight | ARI | 97 | -39 | 26% |
| 50 | Chris Rodriguez Jr. | JAX | 89 | -48 | 21% |
| # | Player | Team | Proj pts | VOR | TD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T1Puka Nacua | LA | 343 | 179 | 41% |
| 2 | Ja'Marr Chase | CIN | 298 | 135 | 40% |
| 3 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | DET | 283 | 120 | 35% |
| 4 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | SEA | 239 | 76 | 27% |
| 5 | A.J. Brown | NE | 236 | 73 | 33% |
| 6 | Chris Olave | NO | 236 | 73 | 33% |
| 7 | T2Zay Flowers | BAL | 233 | 70 | 32% |
| 8 | Justin Jefferson | MIN | 228 | 65 | 29% |
| 9 | Davante Adams | LA | 226 | 63 | 34% |
| 10 | George Pickens | DAL | 226 | 63 | 31% |
| 11 | Stefon Diggs | NE | 213 | 50 | 25% |
| 12 | DK Metcalf | PIT | 212 | 49 | 34% |
| 13 | T3Nico Collins | HOU | 211 | 48 | 30% |
| 14 | Jakobi Meyers | JAX | 209 | 46 | 31% |
| 15 | Jaylen Waddle | DEN | 205 | 42 | 31% |
| 16 | Jameson Williams | DET | 203 | 40 | 31% |
| 17 | Keenan Allen | LAC | 200 | 37 | 26% |
| 18 | Michael Wilson | ARI | 198 | 35 | 34% |
| 19 | T4Courtland Sutton | DEN | 196 | 33 | 28% |
| 20 | CeeDee Lamb | DAL | 196 | 32 | 32% |
| 21 | Deebo Samuel Sr. | WAS | 195 | 32 | 31% |
| 22 | Khalil Shakir | BUF | 187 | 24 | 24% |
| 23 | DeVonta Smith | PHI | 187 | 24 | 25% |
| 24 | Tee Higgins | CIN | 186 | 23 | 37% |
| 25 | T5DJ Moore | BUF | 185 | 22 | 24% |
| 26 | Wan'Dale Robinson | TEN | 183 | 20 | 25% |
| 27 | Parker Washington | JAX | 183 | 19 | 27% |
| 28 | Tetairoa McMillan | CAR | 182 | 18 | 26% |
| 29 | Luther Burden III | CHI | 177 | 13 | 20% |
| 30 | Emeka Egbuka | TB | 176 | 13 | 25% |
| 31 | T6Michael Pittman | PIT | 175 | 12 | 22% |
| 32 | Cooper Kupp | SEA | 174 | 11 | 30% |
| 33 | Ladd McConkey | LAC | 171 | 8 | 28% |
| 34 | Drake London | ATL | 168 | 5 | 32% |
| 35 | Brian Thomas Jr. | JAX | 168 | 5 | 26% |
| 36 | Jerry Jeudy | CLE | 163 | 0 | 21% |
| 37 | T7Josh Downs | IND | 157 | -6 | 23% |
| 38 | Adonai Mitchell | NYJ | 155 | -9 | 24% |
| 39 | Jordan Addison | MIN | 152 | -11 | 32% |
| 40 | Romeo Doubs | NE | 152 | -12 | 24% |
| 41 | Jauan Jennings | MIN | 148 | -15 | 23% |
| 42 | Rome Odunze | CHI | 147 | -16 | 25% |
| 43 | T8Chimere Dike | TEN | 144 | -20 | 24% |
| 44 | Tre Tucker | LV | 143 | -20 | 21% |
| 45 | Mack Hollins | NE | 140 | -23 | 20% |
| 46 | Kayshon Boutte | NE | 139 | -24 | 21% |
| 47 | Xavier Worthy | KC | 139 | -25 | 25% |
| 48 | Marvin Harrison Jr. | ARI | 138 | -25 | 29% |
| 49 | T9Marvin Mims Jr. | DEN | 135 | -29 | 18% |
| 50 | Terry McLaurin | WAS | 134 | -30 | 32% |
| # | Player | Team | Proj pts | VOR | TD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T1Trey McBride | ARI | 267 | 116 | 36% |
| 2 | Kyle Pitts | ATL | 222 | 72 | 29% |
| 3 | Travis Kelce | KC | 210 | 60 | 30% |
| 4 | Colston Loveland | CHI | 207 | 56 | 29% |
| 5 | T2Harold Fannin Jr. | CLE | 204 | 53 | 33% |
| 6 | Dallas Goedert | PHI | 193 | 42 | 31% |
| 7 | Tyler Warren | IND | 177 | 26 | 25% |
| 8 | Mark Andrews | BAL | 171 | 21 | 26% |
| 9 | T3George Kittle | SF | 166 | 16 | 31% |
| 10 | Brock Bowers | LV | 166 | 16 | 31% |
| 11 | Juwan Johnson | NO | 163 | 12 | 22% |
| 12 | Dalton Schultz | HOU | 161 | 11 | 21% |
| 13 | T4Zach Ertz | WAS | 159 | 9 | 29% |
| 14 | T.J. Hockenson | MIN | 151 | 0 | 23% |
| 15 | Chig Okonkwo | WAS | 149 | -1 | 21% |
| 16 | Hunter Henry | NE | 147 | -4 | 23% |
| 17 | T5Theo Johnson | NYG | 142 | -8 | 23% |
| 18 | Jake Ferguson | DAL | 137 | -14 | 21% |
| 19 | Pat Freiermuth | PIT | 130 | -21 | 22% |
| 20 | Oronde Gadsden II | LAC | 130 | -21 | 21% |
| 21 | T6Gunnar Helm | TEN | 121 | -29 | 19% |
| 22 | Colby Parkinson | LA | 116 | -34 | 19% |
| 23 | Evan Engram | DEN | 114 | -36 | 17% |
| 24 | Dalton Kincaid | BUF | 113 | -38 | 21% |
| 25 | T7Dawson Knox | BUF | 112 | -39 | 20% |
| 26 | Cade Otton | TB | 110 | -41 | 18% |
| 27 | Brenton Strange | JAX | 109 | -42 | 22% |
| 28 | AJ Barner | SEA | 105 | -45 | 21% |
| 29 | T8Mason Taylor | NYJ | 103 | -48 | 20% |
| 30 | Sam LaPorta | DET | 101 | -49 | 31% |
| 31 | Isaiah Likely | NYG | 92 | -59 | 23% |
| 32 | Jonnu Smith | PIT | 89 | -61 | 15% |
| 33 | T9Cole Kmet | CHI | 87 | -63 | 15% |
| 34 | Tucker Kraft | GB | 85 | -65 | 31% |
| 35 | Michael Mayer | LV | 85 | -66 | 18% |
| 36 | Luke Musgrave | GB | 84 | -67 | 12% |
| 37 | T10Tyler Higbee | LA | 83 | -67 | 15% |
| 38 | Mike Gesicki | CIN | 83 | -67 | 19% |
| 39 | Darren Waller | MIA | 81 | -70 | 24% |
| 40 | Elijah Higgins | ARI | 81 | -70 | 11% |
| 41 | T11Davis Allen | LA | 79 | -72 | 15% |
| 42 | Tommy Tremble | CAR | 76 | -75 | 17% |
| 43 | David Njoku | LAC | 71 | -79 | 23% |
| 44 | Greg Dulcich | MIA | 71 | -79 | 19% |
| 45 | T12Taysom Hill | NO | 71 | -80 | 18% |
| 46 | Jeremy Ruckert | NYJ | 70 | -80 | 12% |
| 47 | Austin Hooper | ATL | 69 | -82 | 14% |
| 48 | Darnell Washington | PIT | 69 | -82 | 12% |
| 49 | T13Jake Tonges | SF | 65 | -85 | 30% |
| 50 | Noah Fant | NO | 62 | -89 | 12% |
Data baseline from the projection models · refreshed 17 Jul 2026. Qualitative notes (rookies, landing spots, ADP) coming soon.
Per-game projections from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength — a data baseline, not a betting edge. For entertainment / draft research — 18+.
Our projection model estimates per-game fantasy points for every QB, RB, WR and TE from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength, then ranks players by value over replacement (VOR). The same model family powers our public NFL 2026 season predictions.
VOR (value over replacement) measures projected points above a freely available replacement player at the same position. It is the scarcity-aware draft signal: an elite RB or WR outranks a higher-scoring QB because the drop-off to a replacement QB is small.
Yes — switch formats at the top of the board. The formats differ only in points per reception (PPR = 1, Half-PPR = 0.5, Standard = 0), so PPR lifts high-volume pass-catchers while Standard favours rushing production.
Daily and automatically, as new data lands. During draft season we also publish a weekly rankings recap on the blog.
ADP-based rankings show where players are being drafted by the market; our board ranks where they should be drafted on projected value. The gap between the two is where draft value lives — our free mock draft simulator drafts its bots by ADP so you can practice exploiting it.
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