Tua Tagovailoa (Quarterback, ATL) enters the 2026 draft season as our model's QB28, projected for ~188 PPR points (overall rank 173). In the 2025 season they finished as the QB25 in PPR scoring. Projections come from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength — a data baseline for draft research, not a betting edge.
The market drafts Tua Tagovailoa on average 14 spots LATER than our board (ADP rank 187 vs model rank 173) — potential draft value.
Pace assumes a full 17-game season at the player's current modelled per-game rate — it does not account for injury, role changes, suspensions or coaching decisions that can shift usage during the season. Data baseline for research, not a betting edge.
| Scoring | Proj pts | VOR | Tier | Overall | Pos rank | ADP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 188 | -58 | 10 | 173 | QB28 | 161.9 |
| Half-PPR | 188 | -58 | 10 | 193 | QB28 | — |
| Standard | 188 | -58 | 10 | 236 | QB28 | — |
| Season | G | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | PPR pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14 | 2660 | 20 | 15 | 20 | 43 | 0 | 161 |
| 2024 | 11 | 2867 | 19 | 7 | 17 | 49 | 0 | 182 |
| 2023 | 17 | 4624 | 29 | 14 | 35 | 74 | 0 | 280 |
| 2022 | 13 | 3548 | 25 | 8 | 24 | 70 | 0 | 233 |
| 2021 | 13 | 2653 | 16 | 10 | 42 | 128 | 3 | 181 |
| Wk | Opp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | PPR pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IND | 114 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 5.3 |
| 2 | NE | 315 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18.6 |
| 3 | BUF | 146 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 12.8 |
| 4 | NYJ | 177 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 15.7 |
| 5 | CAR | 256 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 22.7 |
| 6 | LAC | 205 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6.6 |
| 7 | CLE | 100 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 8 | ATL | 205 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24.2 |
| 9 | BAL | 261 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8.5 |
| 10 | BUF | 173 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 10.8 |
| 11 | WAS | 171 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 |
| 13 | NO | 157 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4.7 |
| 14 | NYJ | 127 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9.1 |
| 15 | PIT | 253 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16.2 |