Free NFL fantasy draft rankings from our projection model: every QB, RB, WR and TE ranked by projected fantasy points and value over replacement (VOR) — the scarcity-aware draft signal. The fantasy football draft projections auto-update daily as data refreshes.
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Formats differ only in points per reception — PPR = 1 (point per reception), Half-PPR = 0.5, Standard = 0. Everything else (yards, TDs) scores the same, so PPR lifts high-volume pass-catchers (WRs, receiving RBs) while Standard favours rushing.
VOR = Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement player at the same position. It's the scarcity-aware draft signal: an elite RB/WR is worth more than a higher-scoring QB because the drop-off to a replacement QB is small.
| # | Player | Team | Proj pts | VOR | TD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T1Christian McCaffrey | SF | 338 | 214 | 37% |
| 2 | Bijan Robinson | ATL | 337 | 213 | 41% |
| 3 | De'Von Achane | MIA | 277 | 153 | 46% |
| 4 | Chase Brown | CIN | 253 | 129 | 31% |
| 5 | Ashton Jeanty | LV | 234 | 110 | 31% |
| 6 | Saquon Barkley | PHI | 233 | 109 | 38% |
| 7 | T2Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | 231 | 107 | 35% |
| 8 | Kyren Williams | LA | 222 | 97 | 41% |
| 9 | Travis Etienne | NO | 217 | 93 | 29% |
| 10 | Derrick Henry | BAL | 216 | 92 | 34% |
| 11 | Jonathan Taylor | IND | 213 | 88 | 38% |
| 12 | Tony Pollard | TEN | 203 | 78 | 20% |
| 13 | T3Rhamondre Stevenson | NE | 202 | 77 | 23% |
| 14 | Kenneth Walker III | KC | 197 | 73 | 33% |
| 15 | James Cook | BUF | 192 | 68 | 31% |
| 16 | Breece Hall | NYJ | 187 | 63 | 29% |
| 17 | D'Andre Swift | CHI | 186 | 61 | 36% |
| 18 | RJ Harvey | DEN | 176 | 52 | 38% |
| 19 | T4Woody Marks | HOU | 172 | 48 | 20% |
| 20 | Tyrone Tracy Jr. | NYG | 172 | 48 | 20% |
| 21 | Javonte Williams | DAL | 172 | 47 | 26% |
| 22 | Jaylen Warren | PIT | 167 | 43 | 17% |
| 23 | Josh Jacobs | GB | 161 | 37 | 32% |
| 24 | Kenneth Gainwell | TB | 157 | 33 | 27% |
| 25 | T5Quinshon Judkins | CLE | 150 | 26 | 20% |
| 26 | Zach Charbonnet | SEA | 145 | 21 | 28% |
| 27 | Rico Dowdle | PIT | 141 | 17 | 23% |
| 28 | Bucky Irving | TB | 136 | 12 | 34% |
| 29 | Aaron Jones | MIN | 132 | 8 | 30% |
| 30 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt | WAS | 124 | 0 | 27% |
| 31 | T6Cam Skattebo | NYG | 123 | -1 | 42% |
| 32 | TreVeyon Henderson | NE | 120 | -4 | 11% |
| 33 | Chuba Hubbard | CAR | 120 | -4 | 21% |
| 34 | Devin Singletary | NYG | 120 | -4 | 21% |
| 35 | David Montgomery | HOU | 114 | -10 | 37% |
| 36 | Omarion Hampton | LAC | 112 | -12 | 44% |
| 37 | T7Kareem Hunt | KC | 111 | -13 | 27% |
| 38 | Alvin Kamara | NO | 106 | -18 | 29% |
| 39 | Dylan Sampson | CLE | 100 | -24 | 16% |
| 40 | Tyler Allgeier | ARI | 98 | -26 | 17% |
| 41 | Michael Carter | TEN | 95 | -29 | 16% |
| 42 | Rachaad White | WAS | 95 | -29 | 19% |
| 43 | T8Kimani Vidal | LAC | 95 | -29 | 15% |
| 44 | J.K. Dobbins | DEN | 95 | -30 | 25% |
| 45 | Kyle Monangai | CHI | 94 | -30 | 17% |
| 46 | Isiah Pacheco | DET | 93 | -31 | 20% |
| 47 | Ty Johnson | BUF | 90 | -34 | 17% |
| 48 | Tyjae Spears | TEN | 88 | -36 | 21% |
| 49 | T9Chris Rodriguez Jr. | JAX | 87 | -37 | 21% |
| 50 | Bam Knight | ARI | 86 | -38 | 26% |
| # | Player | Team | Proj pts | VOR | TD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T1Puka Nacua | LA | 285 | 151 | 41% |
| 2 | Ja'Marr Chase | CIN | 243 | 110 | 40% |
| 3 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | DET | 230 | 97 | 35% |
| 4 | A.J. Brown | NE | 194 | 61 | 33% |
| 5 | Zay Flowers | BAL | 192 | 59 | 32% |
| 6 | Chris Olave | NO | 192 | 59 | 33% |
| 7 | T2Jaxon Smith-Njigba | SEA | 192 | 58 | 27% |
| 8 | Justin Jefferson | MIN | 188 | 55 | 29% |
| 9 | George Pickens | DAL | 187 | 54 | 31% |
| 10 | Davante Adams | LA | 186 | 52 | 34% |
| 11 | DK Metcalf | PIT | 175 | 42 | 34% |
| 12 | Nico Collins | HOU | 174 | 41 | 30% |
| 13 | T3Stefon Diggs | NE | 173 | 40 | 25% |
| 14 | Jakobi Meyers | JAX | 170 | 36 | 31% |
| 15 | Jaylen Waddle | DEN | 169 | 36 | 31% |
| 16 | Jameson Williams | DET | 167 | 34 | 31% |
| 17 | Michael Wilson | ARI | 163 | 30 | 34% |
| 18 | Deebo Samuel Sr. | WAS | 161 | 28 | 31% |
| 19 | T4Courtland Sutton | DEN | 161 | 27 | 28% |
| 20 | Keenan Allen | LAC | 158 | 25 | 26% |
| 21 | CeeDee Lamb | DAL | 157 | 23 | 32% |
| 22 | Tee Higgins | CIN | 154 | 21 | 37% |
| 23 | DJ Moore | BUF | 154 | 20 | 24% |
| 24 | DeVonta Smith | PHI | 152 | 18 | 25% |
| 25 | T5Tetairoa McMillan | CAR | 151 | 17 | 26% |
| 26 | Parker Washington | JAX | 149 | 16 | 27% |
| 27 | Khalil Shakir | BUF | 148 | 15 | 24% |
| 28 | Wan'Dale Robinson | TEN | 147 | 14 | 25% |
| 29 | Emeka Egbuka | TB | 145 | 11 | 25% |
| 30 | Luther Burden III | CHI | 144 | 10 | 20% |
| 31 | T6Cooper Kupp | SEA | 143 | 9 | 30% |
| 32 | Ladd McConkey | LAC | 141 | 8 | 28% |
| 33 | Brian Thomas Jr. | JAX | 141 | 8 | 26% |
| 34 | Drake London | ATL | 139 | 6 | 32% |
| 35 | Michael Pittman | PIT | 139 | 5 | 22% |
| 36 | Jerry Jeudy | CLE | 133 | 0 | 21% |
| 37 | T7Adonai Mitchell | NYJ | 129 | -4 | 24% |
| 38 | Jordan Addison | MIN | 128 | -5 | 32% |
| 39 | Josh Downs | IND | 127 | -6 | 23% |
| 40 | Romeo Doubs | NE | 124 | -9 | 24% |
| 41 | Jauan Jennings | MIN | 123 | -10 | 23% |
| 42 | Rome Odunze | CHI | 123 | -11 | 25% |
| 43 | T8Tre Tucker | LV | 118 | -16 | 21% |
| 44 | Kayshon Boutte | NE | 117 | -16 | 21% |
| 45 | Mack Hollins | NE | 116 | -18 | 20% |
| 46 | Chimere Dike | TEN | 115 | -18 | 24% |
| 47 | Xavier Worthy | KC | 115 | -18 | 25% |
| 48 | Marvin Harrison Jr. | ARI | 114 | -20 | 29% |
| 49 | T9Marvin Mims Jr. | DEN | 111 | -22 | 18% |
| 50 | Terry McLaurin | WAS | 110 | -23 | 32% |
| # | Player | Team | Proj pts | VOR | TD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T1Trey McBride | ARI | 208 | 88 | 36% |
| 2 | Kyle Pitts | ATL | 179 | 59 | 29% |
| 3 | Travis Kelce | KC | 169 | 48 | 30% |
| 4 | Colston Loveland | CHI | 168 | 48 | 29% |
| 5 | T2Harold Fannin Jr. | CLE | 164 | 44 | 33% |
| 6 | Dallas Goedert | PHI | 158 | 37 | 31% |
| 7 | Tyler Warren | IND | 144 | 23 | 25% |
| 8 | Mark Andrews | BAL | 142 | 21 | 26% |
| 9 | T3George Kittle | SF | 136 | 15 | 31% |
| 10 | Brock Bowers | LV | 133 | 12 | 31% |
| 11 | Juwan Johnson | NO | 130 | 10 | 22% |
| 12 | Zach Ertz | WAS | 128 | 8 | 29% |
| 13 | T4Dalton Schultz | HOU | 128 | 8 | 21% |
| 14 | Hunter Henry | NE | 121 | 0 | 23% |
| 15 | T.J. Hockenson | MIN | 120 | -1 | 23% |
| 16 | Chig Okonkwo | WAS | 120 | -1 | 21% |
| 17 | T5Theo Johnson | NYG | 116 | -5 | 23% |
| 18 | Jake Ferguson | DAL | 109 | -12 | 21% |
| 19 | Oronde Gadsden II | LAC | 106 | -15 | 21% |
| 20 | Pat Freiermuth | PIT | 105 | -15 | 22% |
| 21 | T6Gunnar Helm | TEN | 96 | -25 | 19% |
| 22 | Colby Parkinson | LA | 93 | -28 | 19% |
| 23 | Evan Engram | DEN | 92 | -28 | 17% |
| 24 | Dalton Kincaid | BUF | 92 | -29 | 21% |
| 25 | T7Dawson Knox | BUF | 90 | -30 | 20% |
| 26 | Brenton Strange | JAX | 88 | -33 | 22% |
| 27 | AJ Barner | SEA | 87 | -34 | 21% |
| 28 | Cade Otton | TB | 86 | -34 | 18% |
| 29 | T8Sam LaPorta | DET | 82 | -39 | 31% |
| 30 | Mason Taylor | NYJ | 81 | -40 | 20% |
| 31 | Isaiah Likely | NYG | 75 | -46 | 23% |
| 32 | Jonnu Smith | PIT | 75 | -46 | 15% |
| 33 | T9Cole Kmet | CHI | 71 | -49 | 15% |
| 34 | Tucker Kraft | GB | 70 | -51 | 31% |
| 35 | Michael Mayer | LV | 68 | -53 | 18% |
| 36 | Tyler Higbee | LA | 68 | -53 | 15% |
| 37 | T10Luke Musgrave | GB | 67 | -53 | 12% |
| 38 | Mike Gesicki | CIN | 66 | -54 | 19% |
| 39 | Darren Waller | MIA | 66 | -55 | 24% |
| 40 | Elijah Higgins | ARI | 64 | -57 | 11% |
| 41 | T11Davis Allen | LA | 63 | -58 | 15% |
| 42 | Taysom Hill | NO | 62 | -59 | 18% |
| 43 | Tommy Tremble | CAR | 62 | -59 | 17% |
| 44 | Greg Dulcich | MIA | 57 | -63 | 19% |
| 45 | T12David Njoku | LAC | 57 | -64 | 23% |
| 46 | Jeremy Ruckert | NYJ | 56 | -65 | 12% |
| 47 | Austin Hooper | ATL | 55 | -66 | 14% |
| 48 | Darnell Washington | PIT | 55 | -66 | 12% |
| 49 | T13Jake Tonges | SF | 53 | -68 | 30% |
| 50 | Noah Fant | NO | 50 | -71 | 12% |
Data baseline from the projection models · refreshed 17 Jul 2026. Qualitative notes (rookies, landing spots, ADP) coming soon.
Per-game projections from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength — a data baseline, not a betting edge. For entertainment / draft research — 18+.
Our projection model estimates per-game fantasy points for every QB, RB, WR and TE from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength, then ranks players by value over replacement (VOR). The same model family powers our public NFL 2026 season predictions.
VOR (value over replacement) measures projected points above a freely available replacement player at the same position. It is the scarcity-aware draft signal: an elite RB or WR outranks a higher-scoring QB because the drop-off to a replacement QB is small.
Yes — switch formats at the top of the board. The formats differ only in points per reception (PPR = 1, Half-PPR = 0.5, Standard = 0), so PPR lifts high-volume pass-catchers while Standard favours rushing production.
Daily and automatically, as new data lands. During draft season we also publish a weekly rankings recap on the blog.
ADP-based rankings show where players are being drafted by the market; our board ranks where they should be drafted on projected value. The gap between the two is where draft value lives — our free mock draft simulator drafts its bots by ADP so you can practice exploiting it.
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