UFC: Abubakar Vagaev vs Saygid Izagakhmaev Preview — Full Card Model Reads & Power Ratings

UFC: Abubakar Vagaev vs Saygid Izagakhmaev headlines a card with 13 fights our model has generated pre-fight reads for on July 25, 2026. Below: model win probabilities, method reads and power-rating context for every fight on the main card.

Main event

Abubakar Vagaev meets Saygid Izagakhmaev in a fight scheduled for 3 rounds. Our model gives Saygid Izagakhmaev a 57% chance to win. Method: 28% KO/TKO, 24% submission, 49% decision — a 49% chance this fight goes the distance.

Card breakdown

• Abubakar Vagaev vs Saygid Izagakhmaev: model favours Saygid Izagakhmaev at 57% (Elo 1500 vs 1486) Method: 28% KO/TKO, 24% submission, 49% decision — a 49% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Dustin Jacoby vs Muhammad Said: model favours Dustin Jacoby at 77% (Elo 1562 vs 1500) Method: 54% KO/TKO, 9% submission, 37% decision — a 37% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Magomed Tuchalov vs Brendson Ribeiro: model favours Magomed Tuchalov at 56% (Elo 1500 vs 1460) Method: 47% KO/TKO, 18% submission, 36% decision — a 38% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Cody Gibson vs Abdul Hussein: model favours Abdul Hussein at 56% (Elo 1448 vs 1500) Method: 30% KO/TKO, 18% submission, 51% decision — a 53% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Valter Walker vs Thomas Petersen: model favours Valter Walker at 66% (Elo 1546 vs 1505) Method: 18% KO/TKO, 28% submission, 54% decision — a 51% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Nurullo Aliev vs Mike Davis: model favours Nurullo Aliev at 67% (Elo 1547 vs 1547) Method: 20% KO/TKO, 15% submission, 65% decision — a 65% chance this fight goes the distance.