Value Bet Results — 2026-08-31: 5-3, +1.6 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-08-31 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 5-3 across 8 bets, +1.6 units, average CLV +3.7pp.

Football

• Aston Villa FC vs Arsenal FC — Under2.5: ✅ Won (+1.95u, CLV +1.5pp)
• Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs GD Estoril Praia — GD Estoril Praia +2.00: ✅ Won (+1.69u, CLV +2.6pp)
• FC Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — FC Barcelona +0: ✅ Won (+0.48u, CLV +1.7pp)

Tennis

• Dalibor Svrcina vs Valentin Royer — Valentin Royer: ❌ Lost (-1.63u, CLV +2.6pp)
• Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin — Grigor Dimitrov: ❌ Lost (-3.53u, CLV +1.9pp)
• Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth — James Duckworth: ✅ Won (+3.13u, CLV +28.6pp)
• Sinja Kraus vs Karolina Muchova — Over 18.5: ❌ Lost (-1.56u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz — Carlos Alcaraz: ✅ Won (+1.05u, CLV +0.0pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.