UFC: Devon Lozej vs Davi Bittencourt Preview — Full Card Model Reads & Power Ratings

UFC: Devon Lozej vs Davi Bittencourt headlines a card with 6 fights our model has generated pre-fight reads for on September 19, 2026. Below: model win probabilities, method reads and power-rating context for every fight on the main card.

Main event

Devon Lozej meets Davi Bittencourt in a fight scheduled for 3 rounds. Our model gives Devon Lozej a 50% chance to win. Method: 34% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 45% decision — a 46% chance this fight goes the distance.

Card breakdown

• Devon Lozej vs Davi Bittencourt: model favours Devon Lozej at 50% (Elo 1500 vs 1500) Method: 34% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 45% decision — a 46% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Shuya Kamikubo vs Marcos Breno: model favours Shuya Kamikubo at 50% (Elo 1500 vs 1500) Method: 34% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 45% decision — a 46% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Khamzat Chimaev vs Gilbert Burns: model favours Khamzat Chimaev at 95% (Elo 1637 vs 1564) Method: 27% KO/TKO, 31% submission, 42% decision — a 44% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Colby Covington vs Belal Muhammad: model favours Belal Muhammad at 59% (Elo 1613 vs 1633) Method: 24% KO/TKO, 9% submission, 67% decision — a 64% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Bryce Meredith vs Movlid Khaybulaev: model favours Bryce Meredith at 50% (Elo 1500 vs 1500) Method: 34% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 45% decision — a 46% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Luke Rockhold vs Joseph Pyfer: model favours Luke Rockhold at 68% (Elo 1536 vs 1500) Method: 45% KO/TKO, 18% submission, 37% decision — a 34% chance this fight goes the distance.