Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Prediction — NFL Week 5 (2026)
This preview was published 176h before kickoff — the pick is only revealed after settlement.
Green Bay Packers host Chicago Bears in NFL Week 5, kicking off October 11, 2026 at 18:00. This is a marquee matchup by our power ratings: Green Bay Packers sit at Elo 1466 (No. 17 in our NFL ratings) and Chicago Bears at 1562 (No. 9).
Elo lean
Adjusted for the standard home-field edge, the Elo gap works out to roughly 57% for Chicago Bears (43% Green Bay Packers / 57% Chicago Bears). Treat that as a power-rating read, not a full forecast — the complete model for this game publishes when lines open.
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- Green Bay Packers: 1-4 in their last 5 (L-W-L-L-L, most recent first); latest 14-35 vs Atlanta Falcons.
- Chicago Bears: 3-2 in their last 5 (W-L-W-L-W, most recent first); latest 27-7 vs Philadelphia Eagles.
Head-to-head
These teams have met 5 time(s) in our data window: Green Bay Packers won 2, Chicago Bears won 3. Most recently: Chicago Bears 31-27 Green Bay Packers on 2026-01-11.
Reading Beyond the Elo Gap
Our AI reads the same model data behind this preview and writes an extra analytical section — free members see it before kickoff. After the match it becomes public here.