Eredivisie Weekend Preview: Model Predictions (Aug 7–10, 2026)

The weekend slate

9 Eredivisie fixtures run from Friday to Monday (Aug 7–10, 2026). Here is the full model pass: win probabilities, expected goals and recent form for every game. By our numbers the tightest game of the round is SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs SBV Excelsior. All season-long numbers for the league live on our Eredivisie hub.

Fixture-by-fixture model read

SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs SBV Excelsior — Fri, Aug 7, 20:00

Our model prices SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden at 46%, the draw at 38% and SBV Excelsior at 17%. The model's expected total is ~2.7 goals, leaning Under 3 (~63%). Form (last 5, most recent first): SBV Excelsior W-D-W-W-D.

NEC vs Telstar 1963 — Sat, Aug 8, 16:30

Form (last 5, most recent first): NEC W-L-D-D-D, Telstar 1963 W-W-D-W-L.

Go Ahead Eagles vs Willem II Tilburg — Sat, Aug 8, 18:45

Form (last 5, most recent first): Go Ahead Eagles L-L-D-D-L.

PSV vs Fortuna Sittard — Sat, Aug 8, 20:00

Form (last 5, most recent first): PSV W-W-D-W-W, Fortuna Sittard L-W-L-L-D.

AZ vs ADO Den Haag — Sat, Aug 8, 21:00

Form (last 5, most recent first): AZ D-D-D-D-W.

Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord Rotterdam — Sun, Aug 9, 12:15

Form (last 5, most recent first): Sparta Rotterdam L-L-D-L-W, Feyenoord Rotterdam W-D-W-W-D.

PEC Zwolle vs AFC Ajax — Sun, Aug 9, 14:30

Form (last 5, most recent first): PEC Zwolle L-L-W-L-D, AFC Ajax D-L-D-W-L.

FC Groningen vs FC Utrecht — Sun, Aug 9, 14:30

Form (last 5, most recent first): FC Groningen W-W-L-L-W, FC Utrecht W-W-W-L-L.

SC Heerenveen vs FC Twente '65 — Sun, Aug 9, 16:45

Form (last 5, most recent first): SC Heerenveen D-L-W-W-L, FC Twente '65 L-W-D-D-W.

An honest caveat

A model probability is not a promise: across a single weekend even a well-calibrated model will "lose" several games — that is variance, not a defect. Our edge lives in the precision of the numbers versus the market, not in guessing winners. Every value bet the model flags runs openly into our track record — winners and losers alike. The actual picks stay members-only until they settle.