Model predictions for Group K at the 2026 World Cup — each team's chance of winning the group, advancing to the knockout round and going deep. Free to read; the value bets for every group match are in our Football and All-Access plans.
| Team | Win group | Advance |
|---|---|---|
| Portugal | 37% | 79% |
| Colombia | 25% | 69% |
| DR Congo | 20% | 62% |
| Uzbekistan | 18% | 59% |
Group K of the 2026 World Cup features Portugal, Colombia, DR Congo and Uzbekistan. Colombia carry the highest Elo rating in the group.
Our model favours Portugal to top the group (37%); Colombia is also tipped to advance (69%).
Uzbekistan faces the toughest path, with a 41% chance of going out in the group stage.
The top two from each group, plus the eight best third-placed teams, advance to the round of 32.
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