UFC: Tom Pagliarulo vs Ananias Mulumba Preview — Full Card Model Reads & Power Ratings

UFC: Tom Pagliarulo vs Ananias Mulumba headlines a card with 5 fights our model has generated pre-fight reads for on August 12, 2026. Below: model win probabilities, method reads and power-rating context for every fight on the main card.

Main event

Tom Pagliarulo meets Ananias Mulumba in a fight scheduled for 3 rounds. Our model gives Tom Pagliarulo a 50% chance to win. Method: 34% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 45% decision — a 46% chance this fight goes the distance.

Card breakdown

• Tom Pagliarulo vs Ananias Mulumba: model favours Tom Pagliarulo at 50% (Elo 1500 vs 1500) Method: 34% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 45% decision — a 46% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Jon Kunneman vs Joseph Kropschot: model favours Jon Kunneman at 58% (Elo 1500 vs 1500) Method: 32% KO/TKO, 22% submission, 46% decision — a 45% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Abe Alsaghir vs Fabrizio Escarrega: model favours Abe Alsaghir at 58% (Elo 1500 vs 1500) Method: 32% KO/TKO, 23% submission, 45% decision — a 44% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Matt Adams vs Anthony Wint: model favours Matt Adams at 53% (Elo 1500 vs 1500) Method: 32% KO/TKO, 22% submission, 45% decision — a 44% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Bilal Hasan vs Mridul Saikia: model favours Bilal Hasan at 58% (Elo 1500 vs 1500) Method: 32% KO/TKO, 22% submission, 46% decision — a 45% chance this fight goes the distance.