UFC: Logan Paxton vs Cristian Pérez Preview — Full Card Model Reads & Power Ratings

UFC: Logan Paxton vs Cristian Pérez headlines a card with 9 fights our model has generated pre-fight reads for on August 19, 2026. Below: model win probabilities, method reads and power-rating context for every fight on the main card.

Main event

Logan Paxton meets Cristian Pérez in a fight scheduled for 3 rounds. Our model gives Logan Paxton a 50% chance to win. Method: 34% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 45% decision — a 46% chance this fight goes the distance.

Card breakdown

• Logan Paxton vs Cristian Pérez: model favours Logan Paxton at 50% (Elo 1500 vs 1500) Method: 34% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 45% decision — a 46% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Namo Fazil vs Kaik Brito: model favours Namo Fazil at 50% (Elo 1500 vs 1500) Method: 34% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 45% decision — a 46% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Alik Lorenz vs Mahamed Aly: model favours Alik Lorenz at 50% (Elo 1500 vs 1500) Method: 34% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 45% decision — a 46% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Douglas Rodrigues vs Trent Miller: model favours Douglas Rodrigues at 50% (Elo 1500 vs 1500) Method: 34% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 45% decision — a 46% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Roman Puga vs Taner Trembley: model favours Roman Puga at 50% (Elo 1500 vs 1500) Method: 34% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 45% decision — a 46% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Namo Fazil vs Kaik Brito: model favours Kaik Brito at 52% (Elo 1500 vs 1500) Method: 33% KO/TKO, 23% submission, 45% decision — a 44% chance this fight goes the distance.