UFC: Eliezer Kubanza vs Trey Waters Preview — Full Card Model Reads & Power Ratings

UFC: Eliezer Kubanza vs Trey Waters headlines a card with 5 fights our model has generated pre-fight reads for on October 16, 2026. Below: model win probabilities, method reads and power-rating context for every fight on the main card.

Main event

Eliezer Kubanza meets Trey Waters in a fight scheduled for 3 rounds. Our model gives Eliezer Kubanza a 51% chance to win. Method: 38% KO/TKO, 13% submission, 50% decision — a 51% chance this fight goes the distance.

Card breakdown

• Eliezer Kubanza vs Trey Waters: model favours Eliezer Kubanza at 51% (Elo 1500 vs 1517) Method: 38% KO/TKO, 13% submission, 50% decision — a 51% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Emiliano Sordi vs Abraham Bably: model favours Emiliano Sordi at 50% (Elo 1500 vs 1500) Method: 34% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 45% decision — a 46% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Gamid Khizriev vs Michael Boylan: model favours Gamid Khizriev at 50% (Elo 1500 vs 1500) Method: 34% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 45% decision — a 46% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Timur Khizriev vs Gabriel Alves Braga: model favours Timur Khizriev at 50% (Elo 1500 vs 1500) Method: 34% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 45% decision — a 46% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Liz Carmouche vs Jena Bishop: model favours Liz Carmouche at 63% (Elo 1507 vs 1500) Method: 28% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 51% decision — a 52% chance this fight goes the distance.