Date: Fri, 16 October 2026 at 11:00
Ann Li faces Iga Swiatek at Wuhan Open on hard court in a best-of-3 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our model makes Iga Swiatek a heavy favourite at 83% to win. Iga Swiatek holds a commanding 243-point Elo edge (1657 to 1900).
Ann Li is especially strong on hard court; Iga Swiatek is especially strong on hard court; Ann Li arrives in form, winning 7 of the last 10; Iga Swiatek arrives in form, winning 8 of the last 10.
Their head-to-head is level at 1–1; Iga Swiatek won the most recent meeting in 2026.
On total games, the model projects about 20.4 and leans over the 20 line.
Expected ~20.4 games · leans Over 20