Date: Wed, 29 July 2026 at 15:00
Aleksandar Vukic faces Lorenzo Musetti at Washington Open on hard court in a best-of-3 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our model makes Lorenzo Musetti a heavy favourite at 84% to win. Lorenzo Musetti holds a commanding 337-point Elo edge (1493 to 1830).
Lorenzo Musetti is especially strong on hard court; Aleksandar Vukic has struggled lately, 2 wins from 10; Lorenzo Musetti arrives in form, winning 7 of the last 10.
The pair have met just once, with Lorenzo Musetti winning.
On total games, the model projects about 27.4 and leans under the 22 line.
Expected ~27.4 games · leans Under 22