Date: Sun, 30 August 2026 at 15:00
Brandon Nakashima faces Sebastian Baez at US Open on hard court in a best-of-5 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our Elo rating makes Brandon Nakashima a heavy favourite at 75% to win. Brandon Nakashima holds a commanding 195-point Elo edge (1722 to 1527).
Brandon Nakashima is especially strong on hard court; Sebastian Baez is especially strong on hard court; Brandon Nakashima arrives in form, winning 8 of the last 10; Sebastian Baez has struggled lately, 3 wins from 10.
The pair have met just once, with Brandon Nakashima winning.