Date: Sun, 30 August 2026 at 15:00
Aryna Sabalenka faces Maria Camila Osorio Serrano at US Open on hard court in a best-of-3 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our Elo rating makes Aryna Sabalenka a heavy favourite at 96% to win. Aryna Sabalenka holds a commanding 533-point Elo edge (2011 to 1478).
Aryna Sabalenka is especially strong on hard court; Aryna Sabalenka arrives in form, winning 7 of the last 10; Maria Camila Osorio Serrano has struggled lately, 2 wins from 9.
Aryna Sabalenka and Maria Camila Osorio Serrano have not met on tour before.