Date: Fri, 02 October 2026 at 08:10
Arthur Fils faces Frances Tiafoe at Japan Open on hard court in a best-of-3 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our Elo rating makes Arthur Fils a close call at 53% to win. Their Elo ratings are tightly bunched (1817 to 1799).
Frances Tiafoe is especially strong on hard court; Arthur Fils arrives in form, winning 8 of the last 10; Frances Tiafoe arrives in form, winning 8 of the last 10.
Arthur Fils leads the head-to-head 2β0; Arthur Fils won the most recent meeting in 2026.