Date: Thu, 01 October 2026 at 09:00
Tallon Griekspoor faces Andrey Rublev at China Open on hard court in a best-of-3 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our model makes Andrey Rublev a slight favourite at 55% to win. Andrey Rublev leads on Elo by 52 points (1628 to 1680).
Tallon Griekspoor is especially strong on hard court; hard court is not Andrey Rublev's favoured surface; Tallon Griekspoor has struggled lately, 3 wins from 10.
Andrey Rublev leads the head-to-head 3–1; Tallon Griekspoor won the most recent meeting in 2026.
On total games, the model projects about 30.3 and leans under the 23 line.
Expected ~30.3 games · leans Under 23