Date: Fri, 02 October 2026 at 07:00
Daniil Medvedev faces Pablo Carreno Busta at China Open on hard court in a best-of-3 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our model makes Daniil Medvedev a heavy favourite at 85% to win. Daniil Medvedev holds a commanding 237-point Elo edge (1823 to 1586).
Daniil Medvedev is especially strong on hard court.
Daniil Medvedev leads the head-to-head 5–2; Daniil Medvedev won the most recent meeting in 2021.
On total games, the model projects about 28.4 and leans under the 21 line.
Expected ~28.4 games · leans Under 21