Value Bet Results — 2026-09-05: 17-10, +1.5 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-09-05 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 17-10 across 29 bets, +1.5 units, average CLV +1.0pp.

Football

• Lincoln City FC vs Southampton FC — Southampton FC +0: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +1.8pp)
• SV Meppen vs 1. FC Saarbrücken — 1. FC Saarbrücken +0: ✅ Won (+2.61u, CLV -6.2pp)
• Manchester City FC vs Coventry City FC — Manchester City FC to win: ✅ Won (+0.79u, CLV -3.3pp)
• Portsmouth FC vs Cardiff City FC — Portsmouth FC +0: ✅ Won (+1.88u, CLV +3.5pp)
• Brentford FC vs Sunderland AFC — Brentford FC to win: ❌ Lost (-3.14u, CLV -0.6pp)
• West Bromwich Albion FC vs Watford FC — West Bromwich Albion FC +0: ✅ Won (+2.09u, CLV +7.0pp)
• Athletic Club vs Club Atlético de Madrid — Club Atlético de Madrid -0.25: ❌ Lost (-1.39u, CLV +0.5pp)
• NEC vs Feyenoord Rotterdam — Over3.5: ✅ Won (+1.13u, CLV -1.0pp)
• NEC vs Feyenoord Rotterdam — NEC +0.25: ❌ Lost (-1.59u, CLV +3.2pp)
• FC Internazionale Milano vs SSC Napoli — FC Internazionale Milano -0.75: ½ won (+0.75u, CLV +2.2pp)
• FC Schalke 04 vs FC Bayern München — FC Bayern München to win: ❌ Lost (-5.00u, CLV -3.3pp)
• Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum — Dynamo Dresden +0: ❌ Lost (-3.57u, CLV +2.6pp)
• AS Roma vs Atalanta BC — Under2.5: ❌ Lost (-1.28u, CLV +10.4pp)
• Swansea City AFC vs Wrexham AFC — Swansea City AFC -0.25: ½ won (+0.62u, CLV -8.7pp)

Tennis

• Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Elena Rybakina — Under 18.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +2.9pp)

Baseball

• New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants — San Francisco Giants: ✅ Won (+1.70u, CLV +7.3pp)
• Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs — Under 8.0: ❌ Lost (-1.35u, CLV -1.0pp)
• Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers — Detroit Tigers: ✅ Won (+1.93u, CLV -1.7pp)
• Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Angels — Under 7.5: ✅ Won (+1.37u, CLV +2.6pp)
• Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox — Boston Red Sox: ❌ Lost (-0.97u, CLV +11.0pp)
• Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays — Toronto Blue Jays: ✅ Won (+1.68u, CLV +2.1pp)
• Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins — Minnesota Twins: ✅ Won (+2.31u, CLV -0.9pp)
• Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals — St. Louis Cardinals: ✅ Won (+1.44u, CLV +0.0pp)

8

• West Virginia vs Coastal Carolina — Coastal Carolina +21.0: ✅ Won (+1.81u)
• Nebraska vs Ohio — Ohio +23.5: ❌ Lost (-1.65u)
• Nebraska vs Ohio — Over 46.0: ✅ Won (+1.24u, CLV +2.7pp)

9

• Fabia Sintes vs Michael Aljarouj — Fabia Sintes: ✅ Won (+1.31u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Pavel Andrusca vs Nathaniel Wood — Pavel Andrusca: ✅ Won (+1.06u, CLV +7.3pp)
• Modestas Bukauskas vs Oumar Sy — Oumar Sy: ❌ Lost (-4.27u, CLV +2.9pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.