Value Bet Results — 2026-07-21: 4-7, -3.9 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-07-21 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 4-7 across 12 bets, -3.9 units, average CLV +1.1pp.

Baseball

• Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins — Minnesota Twins: ❌ Lost (-1.26u, CLV -0.9pp)
• Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers — Under 8.5: ✅ Won (+1.68u, CLV +4.5pp)
• Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers — Los Angeles Dodgers: ✅ Won (+1.52u, CLV +7.9pp)
• New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates — New York Yankees -1.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u)
• Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays — Tampa Bay Rays: ❌ Lost (-1.82u, CLV +2.6pp)
• Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres — Atlanta Braves -1.5: ❌ Lost (-1.26u, CLV +2.1pp)
• Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets — New York Mets: ❌ Lost (-1.82u, CLV -0.6pp)
• Chicago Cubs vs Detroit Tigers — Detroit Tigers: ❌ Lost (-1.29u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins — Miami Marlins: ✅ Won (+1.34u, CLV +0.5pp)
• Colorado Rockies vs Washington Nationals — Washington Nationals: ❌ Lost (-0.70u, CLV +5.2pp)
• Los Angeles Angels vs St. Louis Cardinals — St. Louis Cardinals: ❌ Lost (-1.85u, CLV -5.7pp)
• Arizona Diamondbacks vs Athletics — Athletics: ✅ Won (+1.54u, CLV +0.6pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.