| Match | Bet | Odds | Stake | EV | CLV | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Korea vs Czechia | over2.5 | 2.29 | 1.76u | +9.1% | +4.1% | +2.27 | won |
| USA vs Paraguay | home+0 | 1.56 | 2.81u | +6.2% | +2.5% | +1.56 | won |
| USA vs Paraguay | over2.5 | 2.42 | 2.69u | +15.3% | +0.8% | +3.82 | won |
| Qatar vs Switzerland | under2.75 | 2.03 | 1.39u | +5.7% | -2.4% | +1.43 | won |
| Netherlands vs Japan | home+0 | 1.58 | 3.48u | +8.1% | +1.7% | +0.00 | void |
| Sweden vs Tunisia | home+0 | 1.49 | 4.79u | +9.4% | +8.5% | +2.36 | won |
| Spain vs Cape Verde Islands | under3.5 | 1.97 | 3.11u | +12.1% | -3.9% | +3.02 | won |
| Belgium vs Egypt | home+0 | 1.32 | 5.00u | +11.4% | +8.2% | +0.00 | void |
| Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay | over2.25 | 1.85 | 1.64u | +5.6% | -3.6% | -0.82 | lost |
| Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay | away | 1.50 | 4.20u | +8.4% | +0.0% | -4.20 | lost |
| Austria vs Jordan | under2.5 | 2.12 | 1.58u | +7.1% | +3.9% | -1.58 | lost |
| Portugal vs Congo DR | away+1.50 | 2.00 | 1.76u | +7.0% | -1.0% | +1.76 | won |
| England vs Croatia | home | 1.75 | 2.27u | +6.8% | +4.2% | +1.70 | won |
| Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina | home+0 | 1.27 | 5.00u | +5.8% | +2.1% | +1.35 | won |
| Canada vs Qatar | under2.5 | 2.16 | 2.47u | +11.5% | +8.0% | -2.47 | lost |
| Mexico vs South Korea | away+0.50 | 1.87 | 1.45u | +5.1% | +0.0% | -1.45 | lost |
| Mexico vs South Korea | over2.25 | 2.09 | 1.83u | +8.0% | +9.4% | -1.83 | lost |
| Scotland vs Morocco | over2.5 | 2.30 | 1.63u | +8.5% | +5.5% | -1.63 | lost |
| Brazil vs Haiti | under3.5 | 2.10 | 2.09u | +9.2% | +4.0% | +2.30 | won |
| Türkiye vs Paraguay | over2.5 | 2.30 | 3.36u | +17.5% | +2.2% | -3.36 | lost |
| Netherlands vs Sweden | under2.5 | 2.48 | 2.86u | +17.0% | +22.8% | -2.86 | lost |
| Netherlands vs Sweden | home-0.75 | 1.95 | 1.45u | +5.5% | +2.6% | +1.38 | won |
| Germany vs Ivory Coast | under2.5 | 2.48 | 1.45u | +8.6% | +2.5% | -1.45 | lost |
| Tunisia vs Japan | over2.5 | 2.12 | 3.08u | +13.8% | +2.4% | +3.45 | won |
| Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands | under2.0 | 2.23 | 1.71u | +8.4% | -1.8% | -1.71 | lost |
| Match | Score | H% | D% | A% | Outcome | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico vs South AfricaGROUP STAGE | 2–0 | 35% | 21% | 44% | Mexico | 0.218 |
| South Korea vs CzechiaGROUP STAGE | 2–1 | 58% | 20% | 21% | South Korea | 0.087 |
| Canada vs Bosnia & HerzegovinaGROUP STAGE | 1–1 | 38% | 14% | 47% | Draw | 0.369 |
| USA vs ParaguayGROUP STAGE | 4–1 | 56% | 17% | 26% | USA | 0.096 |
| Qatar vs SwitzerlandGROUP STAGE | 1–1 | 30% | 11% | 58% | Draw | 0.408 |
| Brazil vs MoroccoGROUP STAGE | 1–1 | 59% | 20% | 22% | Draw | 0.346 |
| Haiti vs ScotlandGROUP STAGE | 0–1 | 50% | 21% | 28% | Scotland | 0.270 |
| Australia vs TürkiyeGROUP STAGE | 2–0 | 59% | 15% | 25% | Australia | 0.085 |
| Germany vs CuraçaoGROUP STAGE | 7–1 | 74% | 15% | 11% | Germany | 0.034 |
| Netherlands vs JapanGROUP STAGE | 2–2 | 56% | 17% | 26% | Draw | 0.356 |
| Ivory Coast vs EcuadorGROUP STAGE | 1–0 | 59% | 15% | 26% | Ivory Coast | 0.086 |
| Sweden vs TunisiaGROUP STAGE | 5–1 | 60% | 18% | 22% | Sweden | 0.081 |
| Spain vs Cape Verde IslandsGROUP STAGE | 0–0 | 84% | 9% | 7% | Draw | 0.511 |
| Belgium vs EgyptGROUP STAGE | 1–1 | 72% | 14% | 13% | Draw | 0.425 |
| Saudi Arabia vs UruguayGROUP STAGE | 1–1 | 20% | 8% | 72% | Draw | 0.470 |
| Iran vs New ZealandGROUP STAGE | 2–2 | 65% | 17% | 18% | Draw | 0.381 |
| France vs SenegalGROUP STAGE | 3–1 | 61% | 16% | 23% | France | 0.078 |
| Iraq vs NorwayGROUP STAGE | 1–4 | 28% | 19% | 53% | Norway | 0.111 |
| Argentina vs AlgeriaGROUP STAGE | 3–0 | 62% | 19% | 19% | Argentina | 0.074 |
| Austria vs JordanGROUP STAGE | 3–1 | 45% | 26% | 29% | Austria | 0.151 |
| Portugal vs Congo DRGROUP STAGE | 1–1 | 71% | 15% | 14% | Draw | 0.415 |
| England vs CroatiaGROUP STAGE | 4–2 | 61% | 17% | 22% | England | 0.076 |
| Ghana vs PanamaGROUP STAGE | 1–0 | 65% | 14% | 21% | Ghana | 0.061 |
| Uzbekistan vs ColombiaGROUP STAGE | 1–3 | 22% | 15% | 63% | Colombia | 0.069 |
| Czechia vs South AfricaGROUP STAGE | 1–1 | 32% | 14% | 54% | Draw | 0.377 |
| # | Team | Grp | Win % | Δ | Final | SF | QF | R16 | R32 | Group exit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | H | 48.4% | ▲ 40.1 | 74.4% | 92.8% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 2 | Argentina | J | 15.6% | ▲ 6.7 | 34.3% | 51.2% | 72.3% | 80.5% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 3 | Norway | I | 10.8% | ▲ 10.3 | 27.3% | 46.7% | 74.2% | 74.2% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | Netherlands | F | 4.6% | ▼ 0.8 | 7.9% | 15.9% | 37.0% | 59.8% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | England | L | 3.7% | ▼ 1.0 | 10.3% | 30.2% | 71.7% | 80.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | Brazil | C | 2.4% | ▼ 3.8 | 6.9% | 12.1% | 19.4% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 7 | Colombia | K | 2.2% | ▼ 0.9 | 6.4% | 15.4% | 38.2% | 78.2% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 8 | Morocco | C | 2.2% | – | 4.1% | 8.9% | 40.2% | 40.2% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 9 | France | I | 1.9% | ▼ 7.6 | 3.0% | 49.7% | 59.2% | 86.3% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 10 | Switzerland | B | 1.8% | ▲ 0.3 | 5.8% | 16.4% | 46.2% | 76.4% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 11 | Germany | E | 1.3% | ▼ 6.2 | 3.5% | 10.1% | 19.7% | 50.9% | 87.9% | 12.1% |
| 12 | Senegal | I | 0.9% | ▼ 3.9 | 2.3% | 6.1% | 18.0% | 36.9% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 13 | Canada | B | 0.8% | ▲ 0.2 | 2.1% | 6.3% | 22.7% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 14 | Mexico | A | 0.4% | ▼ 0.7 | 1.4% | 3.1% | 9.4% | 69.2% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 15 | Australia | D | 0.4% | ▼ 0.9 | 1.6% | 5.8% | 12.5% | 56.2% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 16 | Sweden | F | 0.3% | ▼ 1.6 | 0.9% | 2.9% | 11.3% | 30.3% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 17 | Cape Verde | H | 0.3% | ▼ 0.4 | 1.7% | 5.9% | 11.8% | 19.5% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 18 | Ghana | L | 0.3% | ▼ 0.2 | 0.9% | 2.6% | 8.6% | 24.5% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 19 | Ecuador | E | 0.3% | ▼ 0.1 | 0.9% | 2.2% | 6.8% | 23.9% | 67.4% | 32.6% |
| 20 | Ivory Coast | E | 0.2% | ▼ 2.3 | 0.9% | 3.0% | 7.7% | 19.3% | 72.1% | 28.0% |
| 21 | DR Congo | K | 0.2% | ▼ 0.6 | 0.8% | 2.7% | 9.5% | 27.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 22 | Algeria | J | 0.2% | ▼ 0.8 | 0.7% | 2.3% | 9.1% | 25.3% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 23 | USA | D | 0.2% | ▼ 0.6 | 0.5% | 1.9% | 11.0% | 64.3% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 24 | Iran | G | 0.2% | ▼ 1.2 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 4.3% | 10.3% | 32.8% | 67.2% |
| 25 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | B | 0.1% | ▼ 0.5 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 5.0% | 17.6% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 26 | Egypt | G | 0.1% | ▼ 0.8 | 0.4% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 43.8% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 27 | Curaçao | E | 0.1% | ▼ 0.5 | 0.3% | 0.9% | 3.0% | 11.9% | 39.8% | 60.2% |
| 28 | Paraguay | D | 0.0% | ▼ 0.3 | 0.2% | 0.9% | 5.6% | 20.7% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 29 | South Africa | A | 0.0% | ▼ 1.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 30 | South Korea | A | 0.0% | ▼ 1.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| 31 | Czech Republic | A | 0.0% | ▼ 0.6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| 32 | Qatar | B | 0.0% | ▼ 1.6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| 33 | Haiti | C | 0.0% | ▼ 0.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| 34 | Scotland | C | 0.0% | ▼ 0.2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| 35 | Türkiye | D | 0.0% | ▼ 1.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| 36 | Japan | F | 0.0% | ▼ 2.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 37 | Tunisia | F | 0.0% | ▼ 0.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| 38 | Belgium | G | 0.0% | ▼ 3.8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 62.0% | 73.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 39 | New Zealand | G | 0.0% | ▼ 0.4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| 40 | Saudi Arabia | H | 0.0% | ▼ 0.4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| 41 | Uruguay | H | 0.0% | ▼ 1.4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| 42 | Iraq | I | 0.0% | ▼ 0.9 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| 43 | Austria | J | 0.0% | ▼ 0.8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 44 | Jordan | J | 0.0% | ▼ 0.9 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| 45 | Portugal | K | 0.0% | ▼ 1.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 46 | Uzbekistan | K | 0.0% | ▼ 1.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| 47 | Croatia | L | 0.0% | ▼ 1.8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 48 | Panama | L | 0.0% | ▼ 0.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
Δ = change vs the locked pre-tournament prediction · 94 results folded in · re-run 17 Jul, 01:00